Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in any case?) is independent from winning or losing on various other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent situation. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if it is exactly what your problem is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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